论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Propagation of chaos for topological interactions by a coupling technique
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
We consider a system of particles which interact through a jump process. The jump intensities are functions of the proximity rank of the particles, a type of interaction referred to as topological in the literature. Such interactions have been shown relevant for the modelling of bird flocks. We show that, in the large number of particles limit and under minimal smoothness assumptions on the data, the model converges to a kinetic equation which was derived in earlier works both formally and rigorously under more stringent regularity assumptions. The proof relies on the coupling method which assigns to the particle and limiting processes a joint process posed on the cartesian product of the two configuration spaces of the former processes. By appropriate estimates in a suitable Wasserstein metric, we show that the distance between the two processes tends to zero as the number of particles tends to infinity, with an error typical of the law of large numbers.