论文标题

欧洲生物能源的挑战和机遇:国家部署,政策支持以及可能的未来角色

Challenges and Opportunities for Bioenergy in Europe: National Deployment, Policy Support, and Possible Future Roles

论文作者

Wu, Fei, Pfenninger, Stefan

论文摘要

生物能源目前是欧洲的主要可再生能源,但由于建模结果矛盾和缺乏长期政策,因此面临不清楚的未来。本文通过审查生物能源历史国家部署,当前的政策支持以及在欧洲可能的未来角色来确定三个挑战和潜在的机会。第一个挑战是在供应方面。分析欧盟生物能源的供应动力和进口依赖性,我们发现生物能源供应的安全对于液体生物燃料和欧洲人均生物能源消耗量最高的国家都有挑战。其次,在建模研究中,可持续生物能源的定义有时与欧盟政策如何标记它不一致。第三,在需求方面,在欧洲没有明确的长期战略的生物能源有独特但相互竞争的用途。我们以三个机会来解决这些挑战以供将来的研究。首先,利用尚未开发的生物能源潜力降低环境影响可以提高供应安全性。对可持续生物能源的清晰和协调的定义可以更好地将建模结果传达给决策。最后,了解最好使用有限的可持续生物能源供应通过行业耦合的能源系统模型可以为2050年更清晰的欧盟生物能源策略提供指导。

Bioenergy is currently a major renewable energy source in Europe but faces an unclear future because of conflicting modelling results and the lack of long-term policy. This paper identifies three challenges and potential opportunities by reviewing bioenergy historical national deployment, current policy support, and possible future roles in Europe. The first challenge is on the supply side. Analysing the supply-consumption dynamics and import dependency of EU bioenergy, we find that the security of bioenergy supply is challenging for liquid biofuels and those countries with the highest per-capita bioenergy consumption in Europe. Second, the definition of sustainable bioenergy in modelling studies is sometimes inconsistent with how EU policies label it. Third, on the demand side, there are unique but competing uses for bioenergy without a clear long-term strategy in Europe. We conclude with three opportunities to tackle these challenges for future research. First, utilising the untapped bioenergy potential with low environmental impacts could improve supply security. A clear and harmonised definition of sustainable bioenergy could better convey modelling results to policymaking. Finally, understanding where best to use limited sustainable bioenergy supply through sector-coupled energy system models can provide direction for a clearer EU bioenergy strategy towards 2050.

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