论文标题

气候影响建模框架

Climate Impact Modelling Framework

论文作者

Edwards, Blair, Fraccaro, Paolo, Stoyanov, Nikola, Bore, Nelson, Kuehnert, Julian, Weldemariam, Kommy, Jones, Anne

论文摘要

在我们不断变化的气候中,应用模型的应用来评估天气和气候对社会和企业的后续后果的风险以及随后对社会和业务的后果至关重要。这种模型的操作在历史上是定制的,并限制在特定的计算基础架构,驱动数据集和预定义的配置上。这些约束通过扩展模型运行并将模型掌握在感兴趣的用户手中。在这里,我们提出了一个基于云的模块化框架,用于部署和操作地理空间模型,最初应用于气候影响。气候影响建模框架(CIMF)可以以动态和灵活的方式部署模块化工作流程。用户可以以简化的方式指定工作流程组件,然后可以轻松地将这些组件组织成不同的配置,以以不同的方式和不同的尺度评估风险。这还可以使不同的模型(物理模拟或机器学习模型)和工作流程连接以产生合并的风险评估。洪水建模用作端到端的示例,以证明CIMF的操作。

The application of models to assess the risk of the physical impacts of weather and climate and their subsequent consequences for society and business is of the utmost importance in our changing climate. The operation of such models is historically bespoke and constrained to specific compute infrastructure, driving datasets and predefined configurations. These constraints introduce challenges with scaling model runs and putting the models in the hands of interested users. Here we present a cloud-based modular framework for the deployment and operation of geospatial models, initially applied to climate impacts. The Climate Impact Modelling Frameworks (CIMF) enables the deployment of modular workflows in a dynamic and flexible manner. Users can specify workflow components in a streamlined manner, these components can then be easily organised into different configurations to assess risk in different ways and at different scales. This also enables different models (physical simulation or machine learning models) and workflows to be connected to produce combined risk assessment. Flood modelling is used as an end-to-end example to demonstrate the operation of CIMF.

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