论文标题
牛群免疫的谬误
The fallacy of herd immunity
论文作者
论文摘要
在这里，我们表明牛群的免疫力不是我们可以实施，信任，控制或依赖的措施，而等待牛群免疫发挥作用的措施与希望获得最好的措施。牛群的免疫力不是所提及的，但是感染的机会减少了，只有在发生更多的感染时，人口才能实现，这是自相矛盾的。关于何时将有足够的群豁免权的讨论，即19.19流行病，传达了公众和政策制定者错误的信息，我们可以等待一些事情来放松遏制措施。在这里，我们回顾了一种流行病的非正统构建，该构建揭示了畜群的真正含义，这很容易被非专家理解。
Here we show that herd immunity is not a measure we can implement, trust, control or depend on, and that waiting for herd immunity to play a role is tantamount to hope for the best. Herd immunity is not some protection, as it has been referred to, but a reduction in the chance of infection that a population can achieve only if more infections occur, which is paradoxical. The discussion on when there will be enough herd immunity for the COVID-19 epidemics to halt, delivers the public and policy makers the wrong message that we can wait for something to happen to relax containment measures. Here we review a non-orthodox construction of an epidemic that unveils what herd immunity really means, that is easy to understand by non-experts.
