论文标题
使用随机kriging进行双目标排名和选择
Bi-objective Ranking and Selection Using Stochastic Kriging
论文作者
论文摘要
我们考虑双向目标排名和选择问题,目的是正确地识别有限的候选者中的帕累托最佳解决方案,以不确定性观察到这两个客观结果(例如,在运行了多型物体的随机仿真优化过程之后)。在识别这些解决方案时,观察到的性能的噪声可能会导致两种类型的错误:真正帕累托最佳的解决方案可能会被错误地视为主导,而真正主导的解决方案可能会被错误地认为是帕托特(Pareto)最佳的。我们提出了一种新颖的贝叶斯双目标排名和选择方法,该方法将额外的样本顺序分配给竞争解决方案,鉴于在识别最佳预期性能的解决方案时减少了错误分类错误。该方法使用随机kriging来构建目标结果的可靠预测分布,并利用此信息来决定如何重新取样。实验结果表明,所提出的方法的表现优于标准分配方法,以及众所周知的最新算法。此外,我们表明,其他竞争算法也受益于随机Kriging信息的使用。然而,提出的方法仍然是优越的。
We consider bi-objective ranking and selection problems, where the goal is to correctly identify the Pareto optimal solutions among a finite set of candidates for which the two objective outcomes have been observed with uncertainty (e.g., after running a multiobjective stochastic simulation optimization procedure). When identifying these solutions, the noise perturbing the observed performance may lead to two types of errors: solutions that are truly Pareto-optimal can be wrongly considered dominated, and solutions that are truly dominated can be wrongly considered Pareto-optimal. We propose a novel Bayesian bi-objective ranking and selection method that sequentially allocates extra samples to competitive solutions, in view of reducing the misclassification errors when identifying the solutions with the best expected performance. The approach uses stochastic kriging to build reliable predictive distributions of the objective outcomes, and exploits this information to decide how to resample. Experimental results show that the proposed method outperforms the standard allocation method, as well as a well-known the state-of-the-art algorithm. Moreover, we show that the other competing algorithms also benefit from the use of stochastic kriging information; yet, the proposed method remains superior.