论文标题
大约等待着强烈地震
About the waiting time for a strong earthquake
论文作者
论文摘要
作为研究的对象，我们选择了强烈地震的全球活动（M> 7）。该研究的主题是下一次强烈地震的等待时间。该研究的目的是比较等待时间的两个分布，其中一个是根据世界时间订购事件时计算的，第二个是根据适当的时间订购时进行的。我们提出了独特的地下时钟来计算适当的时间。平均等待时间是世界时间25天，在适当的时间内有10个滴答。我们对两种分布都遵守指数定律的信心高度宣称。在第一种情况下，确定系数为0.94，在第二种情况下为0.98。这更令人惊讶，因为我们的地下时钟是一种相当粗糙的测量工具。我们还考虑了与地震时间表有关的一般问题。关键字：适当的时间，停用因子，主要冲击，前锁和余震，指数和功率分布。
As an object of study, we chose the global activity of strong earthquakes (M > 7). The subject of the study is the waiting time for the next strong earthquake. The purpose of the study is to compare two distributions of waiting time, one of which is calculated when ordering events according to world time, and the second when ordering according to proper time. We have come up with unique underground clock to counting proper time. The average waiting time is 25 days in world time, and 10 ticks in proper time. We assert with a high degree of confidence that both distributions obey an exponential law. The coefficients of determination are 0.94 in the first case, and 0.98 in the second case. This is all the more surprising since our underground clock is a rather crude measuring instrument. We also consider general issues related to the chronologization of earthquakes. Keywords: proper time, deactivation factor, main shock, foreshocks and aftershocks, exponential and power distributions.
