论文标题
通过无监督的机器学习比较风暴解决模型和气候
Comparing Storm Resolving Models and Climates via Unsupervised Machine Learning
论文作者
论文摘要
由于他们解决了全球气候的前所未有的细节,因此全球风暴分辨模型(GSRMS)引起了广泛的兴趣。但是,很难量化GSRM的客观差异解决复杂的大气层。在许多不同领域中,缺乏比较模型相似性的全面工具是一个问题,涉及用于复杂数据的模拟工具。为了应对这一挑战,我们开发了基于非线性维度降低和向量量化的分布距离的方法。我们的方法会自动从不同模型产生的低维潜在数据表示中学习具有相似性的物理意义的概念。这使得基于其高维模拟数据(2D垂直速度快照)的九个GSRM的比较,并揭示了它们在大气动力学的表示中只有6个相似。此外,我们以完全无监督的方式揭示了对全球变暖的对流反应的签名。我们的研究提供了一种更具客观地评估未来高分辨率仿真数据的途径。
Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult to quantify objective differences in how GSRMs resolve complex atmospheric formations. This lack of comprehensive tools for comparing model similarities is a problem in many disparate fields that involve simulation tools for complex data. To address this challenge we develop methods to estimate distributional distances based on both nonlinear dimensionality reduction and vector quantization. Our approach automatically learns physically meaningful notions of similarity from low-dimensional latent data representations that the different models produce. This enables an intercomparison of nine GSRMs based on their high-dimensional simulation data (2D vertical velocity snapshots) and reveals that only six are similar in their representation of atmospheric dynamics. Furthermore, we uncover signatures of the convective response to global warming in a fully unsupervised way. Our study provides a path toward evaluating future high-resolution simulation data more objectively.