论文标题
大流行期间的行为变化恶化了城市遭遇的收入多样性
Behavioral changes during the pandemic worsened income diversity of urban encounters
论文作者
论文摘要
众所周知,城市环境中的身体相遇和社会互动的多样性刺激了城市的经济生产力和创新,同时也促进了社会资本和社区的韧性。但是,大流行期间的流动性限制迫使人们大大减少了城市的身体遭遇,从而提出了有关这种行为改变的社会影响的问题。在本文中,我们研究了整个大流行期间的不同时期的城市遭遇的收入多样性如何使用大规模的,隐私增强的移动性数据集,该数据集拥有超过100万个美国大型城市的一百万个匿名手机用户,这些城市在大流行期之前和期间都在三年内收集。我们发现,大流行期间的城市遭遇的多样性大大降低(提高15%至30%),并且一直持续到2021年末,即使总体流动性指标已经恢复到大流行前水平。反事实分析表明,虽然减少外部活动(较高的待在家里)是一个主要因素,这是一个主要因素,导致大流行初期的多样性下降,行为变化,包括降低探索新地点和探访偏好变化的意愿,进一步加剧了遭遇的长期多样性。我们的发现表明,大流行可能会对城市收入多样性产生持久的负面影响,并为管理Covid-19政策的严格性与我们超越大流行时的城市遭遇的多样性之间的权衡产生影响。
Diversity of physical encounters and social interactions in urban environments are known to spur economic productivity and innovation in cities, while also to foster social capital and resilience of communities. However, mobility restrictions during the pandemic have forced people to substantially reduce urban physical encounters, raising questions on the social implications of such behavioral changes. In this paper, we study how the income diversity of urban encounters have changed during different periods throughout the pandemic, using a large-scale, privacy-enhanced mobility dataset of more than one million anonymized mobile phone users in four large US cities, collected across three years spanning before and during the pandemic. We find that the diversity of urban encounters have substantially decreased (by 15% to 30%) during the pandemic and has persisted through late 2021, even though aggregated mobility metrics have recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Counterfactual analyses show that while the reduction of outside activities (higher rates of staying at home) was a major factor that contributed to decreased diversity in the early stages of the pandemic, behavioral changes including lower willingness to explore new places and changes in visitation preferences further worsened the long-term diversity of encounters. Our findings suggest that the pandemic could have long-lasting negative effects on urban income diversity, and provide implications for managing the trade-off between the stringency of COVID-19 policies and the diversity of urban encounters as we move beyond the pandemic.