论文标题
终端分配约束的保险中一些优化问题
Some Optimisation Problems in Insurance with a Terminal Distribution Constraint
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们根据确定性和有限时间的终端盈余$ t $遵循给定平均值和给定差异的正态分布,研究了保险公司的两个优化设置。在这两种情况下,假定保险公司的盈余都遵循布朗人的动议。首先,我们允许保险公司支付股息,并寻求最大化预期的折扣股息支付或最大程度地减少终端分配约束下的破坏概率。在这里,我们在两种情况下都找到了最佳策略的明确表达:在离散和连续的时间设置中。其次,我们让保险公司购买保险或业务库的再保险合同。为了达到一定水平的可持续性(即收集的首要行列应足以购买再保险并支付发生的索赔),初始资本设置为零。我们只允许产生正常分布的终端盈余的分段恒定再保险策略,其平均值和差异导致具有风险的给定价值或在某种置信度水平$α$处的预期不足。我们调查了一个可以接受的再保险策略会产生较小的毁灭概率的问题,如果在离散确定性的时间点上应有的废墟检查。
In this paper, we study two optimisation settings for an insurance company, under the constraint that the terminal surplus at a deterministic and finite time $T$ follows a normal distribution with a given mean and a given variance. In both cases, the surplus of the insurance company is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift. First, we allow the insurance company to pay dividends and seek to maximise the expected discounted dividend payments or to minimise the ruin probability under the terminal distribution constraint. Here, we find explicit expressions for the optimal strategies in both cases: in discrete and continuous time settings. Second, we let the insurance company buy a reinsurance contract for a pool of insured or a branch of business. To achieve a certain level of sustainability (i.e. the collected premia should be sufficient to buy reinsurance and to pay the occurring claims) the initial capital is set to be zero. We only allow for piecewise constant reinsurance strategies producing a normally distributed terminal surplus, whose mean and variance lead to a given Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall at some confidence level $α$. We investigate the question which admissible reinsurance strategy produces a smaller ruin probability, if the ruin-checks are due at discrete deterministic points in time.