论文标题

技术和计算范式:超越摩尔定律?

Technologies and Computing Paradigms: Beyond Moore's law?

论文作者

Etiemble, Daniel

论文摘要

很确定,摩尔的定律会在某一天结束时,对后城市时代的质疑非常有趣。同样,寻找可以提供解决方案的新计算范例也很重要。自60年代以来,重新审视数字电子产品的历史,为新兴技术取代当前主要的技术的成功条件提供了重要的见解。具体而言,过去显示了何时约束和“墙壁”通过改进的技术技术以及何时激发技术变化(进化与突破)何时有助于进化。新技术或新计算范式的主要标准是一个重大的性能改善(至少一个数量级)。成本,空间要求,功率和可伸缩性是其他重要参数。

As it is pretty sure that Moore's law will end some day, questioning about the post-Moore era is more than interesting. Similarly, looking for new computing paradigms that could provide solutions is important. Revisiting the history of digital electronics since the 60's provide significant insights on the conditions for the success of a new emerging technology to replace the currently dominant one. Specifically, the past shows when constraints and « walls » have contribute to evolution through improved technical techniques and when they have provoked changes of technologies (evolution versus breakthrough). The main criteria for a new technology or a new computing paradigm is a significant performance improvement (at least one order of magnitude). Cost, space requirement, power and scalability are the other important parameters.

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