论文标题
自适应强大的在线投资组合选择
Adaptive Robust Online Portfolio Selection
论文作者
论文摘要
在线投资组合选择(OLP)问题与经典投资组合模型问题不同,因为它涉及做出顺序投资决策。文献中描述的许多OLP策略基于各种信念捕获市场运动,并被证明是有利可图的。在本文中,我们提出了一种强大的优化(RO)策略,以考虑交易成本。此外,与从基准数据集校准模型参数的现有研究不同,我们开发了一种新型的自适应方案,该方案依次决定参数。我们的计划以广泛的参数为输入,可以捕获市场上升趋势,并保护市场下降趋势,同时控制交易频率以避免过度交易成本。我们从数值上证明了自适应方案在各种设置下对几个基准的优势。我们的自适应方案在一般的顺序决策问题中也可能很有用。最后,我们将我们的策略的性能与使用基准和新收集的数据集的现有OLP策略的性能进行了比较。我们的策略在多元化数据集的累积回报和竞争性夏普比率方面优于这些现有的OLP策略,这表明了其适应性驱动的优势。
The online portfolio selection (OLPS) problem differs from classical portfolio model problems, as it involves making sequential investment decisions. Many OLPS strategies described in the literature capture market movement based on various beliefs and are shown to be profitable. In this paper, we propose a robust optimization (RO)-based strategy that takes transaction costs into account. Moreover, unlike existing studies that calibrate model parameters from benchmark data sets, we develop a novel adaptive scheme that decides the parameters sequentially. With a wide range of parameters as input, our scheme captures market uptrend and protects against market downtrend while controlling trading frequency to avoid excessive transaction costs. We numerically demonstrate the advantages of our adaptive scheme against several benchmarks under various settings. Our adaptive scheme may also be useful in general sequential decision-making problems. Finally, we compare the performance of our strategy with that of existing OLPS strategies using both benchmark and newly collected data sets. Our strategy outperforms these existing OLPS strategies in terms of cumulative returns and competitive Sharpe ratios across diversified data sets, demonstrating its adaptability-driven superiority.