论文标题

国家和地区一级的经济复杂性和不平等

Economic complexity and inequality at the national and regional level

论文作者

Hartmann, Dominik, Pinheiro, Flavio L.

论文摘要

最近的研究发现,在国家一级的经济复杂性与不平等之间存在负相关的证据。此外,有证据表明,复杂的经济体倾向于将不太理想的产品外包(例如,就工资和不平等影响而言),而是专注于需要熟练劳动和更具包容性机构网络的复杂产品。然而,经济复杂性与粗略的不平等之间的负相关可能会在细粒度的水平上隐藏重要的动态。复杂的经济活动很难发展,并且倾向于在空间上集中精力,从而促进了国家不平等的“赢家最多”影响。大型,复杂的城市倾向于吸引高技能和低技能的活动和工人,并且还与较高水平的层次结构,竞争和技能溢价有关。结果,复杂性与不平等范围之间的关联在区域尺度上逆转;换句话说,更复杂的地区往往更不平等。两极分学理论,制度变化和城市规模文献中的思想可以帮助理解这一悖论,而经济复杂性和相关性的新方法可以帮助确定包容性的增长限制和机会。

Recent studies have found evidence of a negative association between economic complexity and inequality at the country level. Moreover, evidence suggests that sophisticated economies tend to outsource products that are less desirable (e.g. in terms of wage and inequality effects), and instead focus on complex products requiring networks of skilled labor and more inclusive institutions. Yet the negative association between economic complexity and inequality on a coarse scale could hide important dynamics at a fine-grained level. Complex economic activities are difficult to develop and tend to concentrate spatially, leading to 'winner-take-most' effects that spur regional inequality in countries. Large, complex cities tend to attract both high- and low-skills activities and workers, and are also associated with higher levels of hierarchies, competition, and skill premiums. As a result, the association between complexity and inequality reverses at regional scales; in other words, more complex regions tend to be more unequal. Ideas from polarization theories, institutional changes, and urban scaling literature can help to understand this paradox, while new methods from economic complexity and relatedness can help identify inclusive growth constraints and opportunities.

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