论文标题
初步结果对旅游业的就业效果。荟萃分析
Preliminary Results on the Employment Effect of Tourism. A meta-analysis
论文作者
论文摘要
失业是每个国家最重要的问题之一。旅游业是一个充满活力的部门，可以增加劳动力，可以创造就业机会，增加消费支出并提供就业机会。在对这项工作的分析中，提出了有关此问题的经验文献，这表明旅游业可以发挥至关重要的，有益于增加就业。本文使用荟萃分析技术来研究旅游业对就业的影响，并发现绝大多数研究揭示了积极的关系。使用部分相关性的元样本研究的36项研究的平均效应为0.129。这种效果类似于0.9左右的回归结果，该结果是积极且具有统计学意义的，清楚地表明，旅游业有效地创造就业机会并提供就业机会。此外，在文献中选择偏见的证据有利于产生阳性估计值的研究，一旦纠正了这种偏见，真正的效应为0.85-0.97。
Unemployment is one of the most important issues in every country. Tourism industry is a dynamic sector which is labor augmented and can create jobs, increase consumption expenditures and offer employment opportunities. In the analysis of this work, the empirical literature on this issue is presented, which indicates that tourism can play a vital and beneficial role to increase employment. This paper uses meta-analysis techniques to investigate the effect of tourism on employment, and finds that the vast majority of the studies reveal a positive relationship. The mean effect of the 36 studies of the meta-sample, using Partial Correlations, is 0.129. This effect is similar to the regression results which is around 0.9, which is positive and statistically significant, clearly indicating that tourism is effective in the creation of jobs and offers employment opportunities. Moreover, evidence of selection bias in the literature in favor of studies which produce positive estimates is found, and once this bias is corrected the true effect is 0.85-0.97.
