论文标题

cgr-cusum:连续的时间广义快速响应累积总和图

CGR-CUSUM: A Continuous time Generalized Rapid Response Cumulative Sum chart

论文作者

Gomon, Daniel, Putter, Hein, Nelissen, Rob G. H. H., van der Pas, Stéphanie

论文摘要

快速检测到护理质量的问题对于患者的福祉至关重要。如果没有适当的检查计划,这些问题可能会一直尚未发现多年。事实证明,累积总和(CUSUM)图表对质量控制很有用,但是可用的生存方法是有限的。少数可用的连续时间检查图表通常要求研究人员提前指定预期的故障率提高,从而需要有关手头问题的先验知识。误解参数可以导致误报警报和较大的检测延迟。为了解决这个问题,我们采用更通用的方法来得出新的连续时间广义快速响应库(CGR-CUSUM)图表。我们找到了近似平均运行长度(平均检测时间)的表达式,并通过使用CGR-CUSUM比其他常用的监测方案来说明检测速度的可能增长,从荷兰人关节置换术寄存器以及模拟研究中的现实生活数据集上的其他常用监测方案。除了检查医疗程序外,CGR-CUSUM还可以用于其他实时检查方案,例如工业生产线和服务的质量控制。

Rapidly detecting problems in the quality of care is of utmost importance for the well-being of patients. Without proper inspection schemes, such problems can go undetected for years. Cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts have proven to be useful for quality control, yet available methodology for survival outcomes is limited. The few available continuous time inspection charts usually require the researcher to specify an expected increase in the failure rate in advance, thereby requiring prior knowledge about the problem at hand. Misspecifying parameters can lead to false positive alerts and large detection delays. To solve this problem, we take a more general approach to derive the new Continuous time Generalized Rapid response CUSUM (CGR-CUSUM) chart. We find an expression for the approximate average run length (average time to detection) and illustrate the possible gain in detection speed by using the CGR-CUSUM over other commonly used monitoring schemes on a real life data set from the Dutch Arthroplasty Register as well as in simulation studies. Besides the inspection of medical procedures, the CGR-CUSUM can also be used for other real time inspection schemes such as industrial production lines and quality control of services.

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