论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Covariance-analytic performance criteria, Hardy-Schatten norms and Wick-like ordering of cascaded systems

论文作者

Vladimirov, Igor G., Petersen, Ian R.

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

This paper is concerned with linear stochastic systems whose output is a stationary Gaussian random process related by an integral operator to a standard Wiener process at the input. We consider a performance criterion which involves the trace of an analytic function of the spectral density of the output process. This class of "covariance-analytic" cost functionals includes the usual mean square and risk-sensitive criteria as particular cases. Due to the presence of the "cost-shaping" analytic function, the performance criterion is related to higher-order Hardy-Schatten norms of the system transfer function. These norms have links with the asymptotic properties of cumulants of finite-horizon quadratic functionals of the system output and satisfy variational inequalities pertaining to system robustness to statistically uncertain inputs. In the case of strictly proper finite-dimensional systems, governed in state space by linear stochastic differential equations, we develop a method for recursively computing the Hardy-Schatten norms through a recently proposed technique of rearranging cascaded linear systems, which resembles the Wick ordering of annihilation and creation operators in quantum mechanics. The resulting computational procedure involves a recurrence sequence of solutions to algebraic Lyapunov equations and represents the covariance-analytic cost as the squared $\mathcal{H}_2$-norm of an auxiliary cascaded system. These results are also compared with an alternative approach which uses higher-order derivatives of stabilising solutions of parameter-dependent algebraic Riccati equations.

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