论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Model-free Learning of Regions of Attraction via Recurrent Sets

论文作者

Shen, Yue, Bichuch, Maxim, Mallada, Enrique

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

We consider the problem of learning an inner approximation of the region of attraction (ROA) of an asymptotically stable equilibrium point without an explicit model of the dynamics. Rather than leveraging approximate models with bounded uncertainty to find a (robust) invariant set contained in the ROA, we propose to learn sets that satisfy a more relaxed notion of containment known as recurrence. We define a set to be $τ$-recurrent (resp. $k$-recurrent) if every trajectory that starts within the set, returns to it after at most $τ$ seconds (resp. $k$ steps). We show that under mild assumptions a $τ$-recurrent set containing a stable equilibrium must be a subset of its ROA. We then leverage this property to develop algorithms that compute inner approximations of the ROA using counter-examples of recurrence that are obtained by sampling finite-length trajectories. Our algorithms process samples sequentially, which allow them to continue being executed even after an initial offline training stage. We further provide an upper bound on the number of counter-examples used by the algorithm, and almost sure convergence guarantees.

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