论文标题

动态随机效用模型的非参数分析

Nonparametric Analysis of Dynamic Random Utility Models

论文作者

Kashaev, Nail, Aguiar, Victor H.

论文摘要

我们研究消费者行为的随机合理性的动态概括,即动态随机效用模型(DRUM)。在DRUM下,消费者从随机效用过程中汲取了实用功能,并在每个时间段内都会受到预算限制的最大化。效用是随机的,在横截面中无限制的相关性和不受限制的异质性。当我们观察到预算中的一系列选择时,我们提供了启发的鼓的偏好表征。这种表征适合统计测试。我们的结果统一了Afriat(1967)的定理,该定理与时间序列数据以及McFadden-Richter(1990)的静态随机效用框架(1990年)一起使用,该框架可与选择的横截面一起使用。

We study a dynamic generalization of stochastic rationality in consumer behavior, the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM). Under DRUM, a consumer draws a utility function from a stochastic utility process and maximizes this utility subject to her budget constraint in each time period. Utility is random, with unrestricted correlation across time periods and unrestricted heterogeneity in a cross-section. We provide a revealed preference characterization of DRUM when we observe a panel of choices from budgets. This characterization is amenable to statistical testing. Our result unifies Afriat's (1967) theorem that works with time-series data and the static random utility framework of McFadden-Richter (1990) that works with cross-sections of choice.

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