论文标题
通过多目标进化算法自动推断故障树模型
Automatic inference of fault tree models via multi-objective evolutionary algorithms
论文作者
论文摘要
故障树分析是可靠性工程和风险评估的众所周知的技术,它支持决策过程和复杂系统的管理。传统上,断层树(FT)模型是与领域专家手动建立的,该专家被认为是耗时的过程,容易发生人类错误。借助行业4.0,检查和监视数据的可用性越来越多,可以从相关的大数据集中提取知识。因此,这项工作的目标是提出一种数据驱动的方法来推断有效的FT结构,以完全表示失败数据集中所包含的故障机制而无需人工干预。我们的算法,即基于多目标进化算法的FT-MOEA,可以同时优化不同的相关指标,例如FT大小,基于故障数据集和最小切割集计算的误差。我们的结果表明,对于文献中的六个案例研究,我们的方法成功地实现了对相关FT模型的自动,高效和一致的推断。我们还介绍了参数分析的结果,该分析测试了我们的算法的不同相关条件的影响其性能,以及用于自动推断FT模型的数据驱动方法的概述。
Fault tree analysis is a well-known technique in reliability engineering and risk assessment, which supports decision-making processes and the management of complex systems. Traditionally, fault tree (FT) models are built manually together with domain experts, considered a time-consuming process prone to human errors. With Industry 4.0, there is an increasing availability of inspection and monitoring data, making techniques that enable knowledge extraction from large data sets relevant. Thus, our goal with this work is to propose a data-driven approach to infer efficient FT structures that achieve a complete representation of the failure mechanisms contained in the failure data set without human intervention. Our algorithm, the FT-MOEA, based on multi-objective evolutionary algorithms, enables the simultaneous optimization of different relevant metrics such as the FT size, the error computed based on the failure data set and the Minimal Cut Sets. Our results show that, for six case studies from the literature, our approach successfully achieved automatic, efficient, and consistent inference of the associated FT models. We also present the results of a parametric analysis that tests our algorithm for different relevant conditions that influence its performance, as well as an overview of the data-driven methods used to automatically infer FT models.