论文标题
欧盟削减燃油税对俄罗斯石油收入有什么影响？
What is the effect of EU's fuel-tax cuts on Russia's oil income?
论文作者
论文摘要
在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之后的石油价格激增之后，欧盟的许多国家正在减少对汽油和柴油的税收。使用标准理论和经验估计，我们评估这种减税如何影响俄罗斯的石油收入。我们发现，在短期内和长期以来，每升20欧元的税收减税量增加了约1100万欧元。这相当于一年中的4.1亿欧元，占俄罗斯GDP的0.3％或其军事支出的7％。我们表明，随着减税的同等财政负担，现金转移给了欧盟公民，将这些副作用减少到了一部分。
Following the oil-price surge in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, many countries in the EU are cutting taxes on petrol and diesel. Using standard theory and empirical estimates, we assess how such tax cuts influence the oil income in Russia. We find that a tax cut of 20 euro cents per liter increase Russia's oil profits by around 11 million Euros per day in the short run and long run. This is equivalent to 4100 million Euros in a year, 0.3% of Russia's GDP or 7% of its military spending. We show that a cash transfer to EU citizens, with an equivalent fiscal burden as the tax cut, reduces these side effects to a fraction.
