论文标题
肯恩:通过利用知识的时间序列预测来增强深层神经网络
KENN: Enhancing Deep Neural Networks by Leveraging Knowledge for Time Series Forecasting
论文作者
论文摘要
端到端数据驱动的机器学习方法通常在培训数据的质量和数量方面具有旺盛的要求,而培训数据通常是不切实际的。在时间序列领域中,这是完全正确的,在这种域中,诸如灾难预测,异常检测和需求预测之类的问题通常没有大量的历史数据。此外,纯粹依靠过去的例子进行培训可能是最佳的,因为这样做我们会忽略一个非常重要的领域,即具有其独特优势的知识。在本文中,我们提出了一种新颖的知识融合体系结构,知识增强了神经网络(KENN),以预测时间序列,该预测专门旨在结合知识和数据域的优势,同时减轻他们的个人弱点。我们表明,肯恩不仅降低了整体框架的数据依赖性,而且还通过产生比纯粹的知识和数据驱动域产生的预测来提高性能。我们还将Kenn与最先进的预测方法进行了比较,并表明,即使仅在50 \%的数据上接受培训时,肯恩产生的预测也明显更好。
End-to-end data-driven machine learning methods often have exuberant requirements in terms of quality and quantity of training data which are often impractical to fulfill in real-world applications. This is specifically true in time series domain where problems like disaster prediction, anomaly detection, and demand prediction often do not have a large amount of historical data. Moreover, relying purely on past examples for training can be sub-optimal since in doing so we ignore one very important domain i.e knowledge, which has its own distinct advantages. In this paper, we propose a novel knowledge fusion architecture, Knowledge Enhanced Neural Network (KENN), for time series forecasting that specifically aims towards combining strengths of both knowledge and data domains while mitigating their individual weaknesses. We show that KENN not only reduces data dependency of the overall framework but also improves performance by producing predictions that are better than the ones produced by purely knowledge and data driven domains. We also compare KENN with state-of-the-art forecasting methods and show that predictions produced by KENN are significantly better even when trained on only 50\% of the data.