论文标题
依赖模型的评估和脱钩的选择
Dependence model assessment and selection with DecoupleNets
论文作者
论文摘要
建议使用神经网络从$ d $维度的样本中学习地图,该样本具有任何基本依赖性结构到$ d'$ dimensions中的多元均匀性。该地图(称为脱钩)用于依赖模型评估和选择。如果已知数据生成依赖模型,并且它是少数可分析的依赖模型之一,则Rosenblatt的转换是$ d'= D $的这样的转换。去偶联物具有多个优势。例如,它们仅需要一个可用的样本,并且适用于$ d'<d $,尤其是$ d'= 2 $。这允许在数值上进行更简单的模型评估和选择,因为$ d'= 2 $,尤其是图形上。图形评估方法具有能够确定候选模型的原因,或者在域的哪个区域中没有提供足够的拟合度,从而导致在这些地区的特定区域或改进的模型建立策略中导致模型选择。通过与来自各种Copulas的数据的模拟研究,这种新型脱钩方法的可行性和有效性得到了证明。现实世界数据的应用说明了其对模型评估和选择的有用性。
Neural networks are suggested for learning a map from $d$-dimensional samples with any underlying dependence structure to multivariate uniformity in $d'$ dimensions. This map, termed DecoupleNet, is used for dependence model assessment and selection. If the data-generating dependence model was known, and if it was among the few analytically tractable ones, one such transformation for $d'=d$ is Rosenblatt's transform. DecoupleNets have multiple advantages. For example, they only require an available sample and are applicable to $d'<d$, in particular $d'=2$. This allows for simpler model assessment and selection, both numerically and, because $d'=2$, especially graphically. A graphical assessment method has the advantage of being able to identify why, or in which region of the domain, a candidate model does not provide an adequate fit, thus leading to model selection in particular regions of interest or improved model building strategies in such regions. Through simulation studies with data from various copulas, the feasibility and validity of this novel DecoupleNet approach is demonstrated. Applications to real world data illustrate its usefulness for model assessment and selection.