论文标题
阿根廷失业保险的福利影响。使用转移时间表的更改的新估计
The welfare effects of unemployment insurance in Argentina. New estimates using changes in the schedule of transfers
论文作者
论文摘要
失业保险转移应平衡将消费提供给失业者，并对搜索行为产生抑制影响。发展中国家面临非正式挑战。工人可以选择将其就业状态和劳动收入隐藏在非正式工作中，这是一种额外的道德危害。为了提供有关该政策在受非正式影响的国家的影响的证据，我们利用了阿根廷转会时间表的纠结。我们的结果表明，较高的收益会导致工作率调查率的中等行为反应并提高重新就业工资。我们使用带有随机工资提供的模型的足够统计公式，并根据估计值对其进行校准。我们表明，如果阿根廷的利益增加，福利可能会大幅提高。重要的是，我们的结论与受非正式的强烈影响的合格工人有关。
Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to hide their employment state and labor income in informal jobs, an additional form of moral hazard. To provide evidence about the effects of this policy in a country affected by informality we exploit kinks in the schedule of transfers in Argentina. Our results suggest that higher benefits induce moderate behavioral responses in job-finding rates and increase re-employment wages. We use a sufficient statistics formula from a model with random wage offers and we calibrate it with our estimates. We show that welfare could rise substantially if benefits were increased in Argentina. Importantly, our conclusion is relevant for the median eligible worker that is strongly affected by informality.
