论文标题

冗余结构系统的最佳设计:基本面

Optimal design of redundant structural systems: fundamentals

论文作者

Beck, Andre T.

论文摘要

尽管对基于系统可靠性的设计优化(系统RBDO)和生命周期成本或风险优化(RO)的最新兴趣不足,但缺乏关于冗余高级系统最佳设计的已发表研究,并且客观地考虑(a)渐进性崩溃和(b)认识论不确定性的影响。本文通过解决简单的两杆主动和被动冗余系统的最佳设计来研究问题的基本方面。渐进式崩溃是客观地解决的,这是静态确定结构直接崩溃的后果,以及冗余,静态不确定结构的逐渐崩溃。众所周知,结构系统的可靠性还取决于非结构性因素或结构设计以外的因素,例如意外负载,制造质量,工艺质量和人类错误。这些因素可以在包含的风险分析中考虑到物理和认知不确定性,并为结构优化问题贡献了固定的潜在故障概率。本文提供的结果表明,在系统RBDO和RO解决方案中,潜在的故障概率是确定最佳解决方案的最重要参数。当潜在的故障概率小于目标(系统RBDO)或最佳(RO)故障概率时,冗余和非冗余(过度和等静态)设计之间存在等效性。但是,当潜在的可靠性小于目标或最佳可靠性时,最佳设计必然会多余(Hyperstatic);作为使系统可靠性大于潜在可靠性的唯一方法是使结构系统多余。

In spite of extended recent interest in System Reliability-Based Design Optimization (System RBDO) and life-cycle cost or Risk Optimization (RO), there is a lack of published studies on optimal design of redundant hyperstatic systems with objective consideration of (a) progressive collapse and (b) the impact of epistemic uncertainties. This paper investigates the fundamental aspects of the problem, by addressing the optimal design of simple two-bar active and passive redundant systems. Progressive collapse is objectively addressed, differentiating consequences of direct collapse of statically determinate structures, and progressive collapse of redundant, statically indeterminate structures. It is well known that reliability of a structural system also depends on nonstructural factors, or factors beyond structural design, such as unanticipated loading, manufacturing quality, quality of workmanship and human errors. These factors can be taken into account in an encompassing risk analysis, which accounts for physical and epistemic uncertainties, and which contributes a fixed latent failure probability to the structural optimization problem. Results presented herein show that the latent failure probability is the single most important parameter in determining optimal solutions, in System RBDO and in RO solutions. When the latent failure probability is smaller than target (System RBDO) or optimal (RO) failure probabilities, there is an equivalence between redundant and non-redundant (hyperstatic and isostatic) designs. However, when the latent reliability is smaller than target or optimal reliabilities, optimal designs become necessarily redundant (hyperstatic); as the only way to make system reliability larger than the latent reliability is by making structural systems redundant.

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