论文标题
与神经网络的大气亚网格过程的非本地参数化
Non-local parameterization of atmospheric subgrid processes with neural networks
论文作者
论文摘要
全球气候模型中的子网格过程由参数化表示,这是气候模拟中不确定性的主要来源。近年来,已经提出,基于高分辨率模型输出数据的机器学习(ML)参数化可能优于传统参数化。当前,大气中亚网格过程的传统和ML参数化均基于单列方法,该方法仅使用单一大气柱中的信息。但是,单列参数化可能不是理想的选择,因为某些大气现象(例如有组织的对流系统)可以跨越多个网格盒,并且涉及不纯粹垂直的倾斜循环。在这里,我们使用超过3 $ \ times $ 3的输入列的非本地输入训练神经网络(NNS)。我们发现,包括非本地输入(包括非本地输入)可以改善一系列子网格过程的离线预测。对于亚电向动量传输以及与中纬度前沿和对流不稳定相关的大气条件,改进尤其值得注意。使用一种可解释性方法,我们发现NN的改进部分依赖于使用水平风发散的,我们进一步表明,包括差异或垂直速度作为单独的输入,可以大大改善离线性能。但是,即使将垂直速度作为输入包括在内,非本地风仍然是参数化亚电网动量传输的有用输入。总体而言,我们的结果表明,使用非本地变量和垂直速度作为输入可以提高ML参数化的性能,并且应在未来工作中的在线模拟中测试这些输入的使用。
Subgrid processes in global climate models are represented by parameterizations which are a major source of uncertainties in simulations of climate. In recent years, it has been suggested that machine-learning (ML) parameterizations based on high-resolution model output data could be superior to traditional parameterizations. Currently, both traditional and ML parameterizations of subgrid processes in the atmosphere are based on a single-column approach, which only use information from single atmospheric columns. However, single-column parameterizations might not be ideal since certain atmospheric phenomena, such as organized convective systems, can cross multiple grid boxes and involve slantwise circulations that are not purely vertical. Here we train neural networks (NNs) using non-local inputs spanning over 3$\times$3 columns of inputs. We find that including the non-local inputs improves the offline prediction of a range of subgrid processes. The improvement is especially notable for subgrid momentum transport and for atmospheric conditions associated with mid-latitude fronts and convective instability. Using an interpretability method, we find that the NN improvements partly rely on using the horizontal wind divergence, and we further show that including the divergence or vertical velocity as a separate input substantially improves offline performance. However, non-local winds continue to be useful inputs for parameterizating subgrid momentum transport even when the vertical velocity is included as an input. Overall, our results imply that the use of non-local variables and the vertical velocity as inputs could improve the performance of ML parameterizations, and the use of these inputs should be tested in online simulations in future work.