论文标题

温暖和寒冷的冬季的可预测性:北欧亚地区厄尔尼诺现象的评估

Predictability of warm and cold winters: Assessment of El Niño effects in the North Eurasian regions

论文作者

Mokhov, I. I.

论文摘要

从长期的数据中分析了北欧亚地区温暖和冷冬季的频率,具体取决于不同类型的厄尔尼诺现象。比较了厄尔尼诺现象不同阶段的北欧亚地区极度温暖和极度冷冬的频率。估计了厄尔尼诺,拉尼娜和中性阶段中异常冬季的潜在可预测性。

Frequency of warm and cold winters in the North Eurasian regions is analyzed from long-term data, depending on El Nino phenomena of different types. Frequencies of extremely warm and extremely cold winters for North Eurasian regions in different phases of El Niño phenomena are compared. Potential predictability of anomalous winters in the El Niño, La Niña and neutral phases is estimated.

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