论文标题
多个市场之间交易者偏好的分散:市场共存与单一市场优势
Fragmentation in trader preferences among multiple markets: Market coexistence versus single market dominance
论文作者
论文摘要
技术进步导致交易场所数量和类型增加以及交易商品的多元化。这些变化重新强调了了解市场竞争影响的重要性:交易场所的扩散和竞争增加是否导致单个市场的统治或多个市场共存?在本文中,我们在零情报交易者的风格化模型中解决了这些问题,他们在三个可用市场中的三个可用市场中重复决策。我们通过数值和分析分析模型,发现控制交易者决策的参数 - 选择的记忆长度和选择强度,例如决策是基于过去成功的强大决定 - 在交易者人口的合并稳态和分散的稳态之间取得了关键的区别。这三个市场只有在学习过于弱,交易者随机选择或市场相同时,这三个市场与交易者的股份相同。在后一种情况下,贸易商的人口在整个市场中分散。对于具有不同偏见的市场的更一般情况,我们注意到市场优势是更典型的情况。这些结果很有趣,因为以前对市场的强烈差异或在交易者需求中的异质性是市场共存的必要条件。我们表明,相比之下,这些国家可以简单地出现,这是由于最初均匀的商人共同适应的结果。
Technological advancement has lead to an increase in number and type of trading venues and diversification of goods traded. These changes have re-emphasized the importance of understanding the effects of market competition: does proliferation of trading venues and increased competition lead to dominance of a single market or coexistence of multiple markets? In this paper, we address these questions in a stylized model of Zero Intelligence traders who make repeated decisions at which of three available markets to trade. We analyse the model numerically and analytically and find that parameters that govern traders' decisions -- memory length and intensity of choice, e.g. how strongly decisions are based on past success -- make the key distinctions between consolidated and fragmented steady states of the population of traders. All three markets coexist with equal shares of traders only when either learning is too weak and traders choose randomly, or when markets are identical. In the latter case, the population of traders is fragmented across the markets. For the more general case of markets with different biases, we note that market dominance is the more typical scenario. These results are interesting because previously either strong differentiation of markets or heterogeneity in the needs of traders was found to be a necessary condition for market coexistence. We show that, in contrast, these states can emerge simply as a consequence of co-adaptation of an initially homogeneous population of traders.