论文标题
使用普通锥体计算不精确的连续时间马尔可夫链的界限
Computing bounds for imprecise continuous-time Markov chains using normal cones
论文作者
论文摘要
近年来,马尔可夫连锁店不精确的理论取得了重大进展。但是,它的适用性仍然非常有限,这在很大程度上是由于缺乏有效的计算方法来计算高维模型。高计算复杂性尤其是在计算Kolmogorov向后方程的不精确版本中。该方程在一个间隔的每个点都以最小化问题的形式表示,仅通过线性编程技术可解决。因此,在整个间隔中找到精确的解决方案是不可行的,因此已经开发了近似方法。为了达到足够的准确性,通常需要在大量时间点中使用线性编程优化方法。 本文的主要目的是提供一种新的,更有效的方法来解决不精确的Kolmogorov向后方程。它基于方程解决方案在时间上的Lipschitz连续性,从而导致在时间间隔的接近点出现的线性编程问题具有类似的最佳解决方案。通过利用凸集的正常锥体理论来利用该特性。本文主要致力于为新技术提供理论基础,但是,最初的测试表明,在大多数情况下,它果断地比现有方法差异。
The theory of imprecise Markov chains has achieved significant progress in recent years. Its applicability, however, is still very much limited, due in large part to the lack of efficient computational methods for calculating higher-dimensional models. The high computational complexity shows itself especially in the calculation of the imprecise version of the Kolmogorov backward equation. The equation is represented at every point of an interval in the form of a minimization problem, solvable merely with linear programming techniques. Consequently, finding an exact solution on an entire interval is infeasible, whence approximation approaches have been developed. To achieve sufficient accuracy, in general, the linear programming optimization methods need to be used in a large number of time points. The principal goal of this paper is to provide a new, more efficient approach for solving the imprecise Kolmogorov backward equation. It is based on the Lipschitz continuity of the solutions of the equation with respect to time, causing the linear programming problems appearing in proximate points of the time interval to have similar optimal solutions. This property is exploited by utilizing the theory of normal cones of convex sets. The present article is primarily devoted to providing the theoretical basis for the novel technique, yet, the initial testing shows that in most cases it decisively outperforms the existing methods.