论文标题
生成电力系统可靠性评估的小组内资产条件数据
Generation of In-group Asset Condition Data for Power System Reliability Assessment
论文作者
论文摘要
在电力系统中,与配备条件监控设备的一些关键和独立资产不同,大多数常规的集体内资产的条件是通过定期检查工作获得的。由于它们的数量大量,大量的手动检查工作以及有时数据管理问题,因此在目标研究领域中看到资产状况数据并不少见。缺乏资产条件数据破坏了可靠性评估工作。为了解决此数据问题并增强数据可用性,本文探讨了基于条件降解,条件相关性和分类分布模型的非常规方法生成的数值和非数字资产条件数据。人类专家的经验知识也可以纳入建模过程中。同样,可以采取概率多样化步骤来使生成的数值状况数据概率。此方法可以生成近距离资产条件数据,并根据两个公共数据集进行了系统验证。给出了基于电缆的区域可靠性评估示例,以证明该方法的有用性及其生成的数据。该方法还可以用于方便地生成假设的资产条件数据,以进行研究。
In a power system, unlike some critical and standalone assets that are equipped with condition monitoring devices, the conditions of most regular in-group assets are acquired through periodic inspection work. Due to their large quantities, significant amount of manual inspection effort and sometimes data management issues, it is not uncommon to see the asset condition data in a target study area is unavailable or incomplete. Lack of asset condition data undermines the reliability assessment work. To solve this data problem and enhance data availability, this paper explores an unconventional method-generating numerical and non-numerical asset condition data based on condition degradation, condition correlation and categorical distribution models. Empirical knowledge from human experts can also be incorporated in the modeling process. Also, a probabilistic diversification step can be taken to make the generated numerical condition data probabilistic. This method can generate close-to-real asset condition data and has been validated systematically based on two public datasets. An area reliability assessment example based on cables is given to demonstrate the usefulness of this method and its generated data. This method can also be used to conveniently generate hypothetical asset condition data for research purposes.