论文标题
评估离岸风能策略对欧洲电力系统设计的影响
Assessing the Impact of Offshore Wind Siting Strategies on the Design of the European Power System
论文作者
论文摘要
本文详细说明了不同的离岸风能策略对欧洲电力系统设计的影响。为此,提出了两阶段的方法。在第一阶段,高粒状的选址问题确定了一组合适的地点,可以根据预先指定的标准部署海上风电厂。在现实的案例研究中分析并比较了两个选址方案。这些方案基本上选择了预先指定的位点,以最大化其总功率输出和时空互补性。此外,还提供了这些选址方案的两种变体,其中要选择要选择的站点的数量是根据国家 /地区而不是欧洲范围内的。在第二阶段,先前确定的站点的子集将其传递给容量扩展计划(CEP)框架,该框架大小,该框架大小,该框架大小,应部署和操作的发电,传输和存储资产,以满足预先指定的电力需求水平,以最低成本。结果表明,基于互补性的选址标准可导致系统设计比依靠基于电源的电源标准的系统设计高达5%,而在海上风电厂被部署时,无需考虑基于国家的部署目标。相反,基于功率输出的方案导致系统设计始终比实施此类约束时利用基于互补性的选址策略的系统始终便宜2%。结果分别对海上风资本支出和年际天气变异性的敏感性分析支持了结果的鲁棒性。
This paper provides a detailed account of the impact of different offshore wind siting strategies on the design of the European power system. To this end, a two-stage method is proposed. In the first stage, a highly-granular siting problem identifies a suitable set of sites where offshore wind plants could be deployed according to a pre-specified criterion. Two siting schemes are analysed and compared within a realistic case study. These schemes essentially select a pre-specified number of sites so as to maximise their aggregate power output and their spatiotemporal complementarity, respectively. In addition, two variants of these siting schemes are provided, wherein the number of sites to be selected is specified on a country-by-country basis rather than Europe-wide. In the second stage, the subset of previously identified sites is passed to a capacity expansion planning (CEP) framework that sizes the power generation, transmission and storage assets that should be deployed and operated in order to satisfy pre-specified electricity demand levels at minimum cost. Results show that the complementarity-based siting criterion leads to system designs which are up to 5% cheaper than the ones relying the power output-based criterion when offshore wind plants are deployed with no consideration for country-based deployment targets. On the contrary, the power output-based scheme leads to system designs which are consistently 2% cheaper than the ones leveraging the complementarity-based siting strategy when such constraints are enforced. The robustness of the results is supported by a sensitivity analysis on offshore wind capital expenditure and inter-annual weather variability, respectively.