论文标题
在极少数机会限制下优化
Optimization under rare chance constraints
论文作者
论文摘要
机会限制提供了一个原则上的框架,通过修改系统的可控属性来减轻高影响极端事件的风险。但是,此类事件的概率低和罕见发生,因此对经典解决方案方法施加了严重的抽样和计算要求,使它们变得不切实际。这项工作提出了一种新型的无抽样方法,用于解决受遵循高斯一般混合物分布的不确定性影响的罕见机会约束优化问题。通过将现代发展与凸分析和双层优化的工具相结合,我们提出了可通过现成的求解器来解决的可拖动配方。与经典方法相比,我们的配方具有多种优势:它们的规模和复杂性与事件稀有性无关,它们不需要在系统约束上进行线性或凸度假设,并且在易于验证的条件下,作为安全问题的安全保守近似或渐近的精确进行了真正的问题。关于投资组合管理,结构工程和流体动力学应用的线性,非线性和PDE构成问题的计算实验,就准确性和效率方面说明了我们方法的广泛适用性及其在基于经典抽样的方法上的优势。
Chance constraints provide a principled framework to mitigate the risk of high-impact extreme events by modifying the controllable properties of a system. The low probability and rare occurrence of such events, however, impose severe sampling and computational requirements on classical solution methods that render them impractical. This work proposes a novel sampling-free method for solving rare chance constrained optimization problems affected by uncertainties that follow general Gaussian mixture distributions. By integrating modern developments in large deviation theory with tools from convex analysis and bilevel optimization, we propose tractable formulations that can be solved by off-the-shelf solvers. Our formulations enjoy several advantages compared to classical methods: their size and complexity is independent of event rarity, they do not require linearity or convexity assumptions on system constraints, and under easily verifiable conditions, serve as safe conservative approximations or asymptotically exact reformulations of the true problem. Computational experiments on linear, nonlinear and PDE-constrained problems from applications in portfolio management, structural engineering and fluid dynamics illustrate the broad applicability of our method and its advantages over classical sampling-based approaches in terms of both accuracy and efficiency.