论文标题
使用Twitter分析国家危机期间的政治两极分化
Using Twitter to Analyze Political Polarization During National Crises
论文作者
论文摘要
在过去的三十年中，民主党人和共和党人似乎已经成长。由于我们今天所知道的是美国两党的，因此这种现象对大多数人来说并不令人惊讶。但是，有些触发因素可能以比两方随着时间的推移逐渐发展的方式更高的速度引起民主党与共和党之间的分歧。这项研究分析了这样的观点，即通常对所有个人有害的国家事件可能是其中之一。通过在三个事件发生前后测试两极分化（飓风桑迪[2012]，北韩国导弹测试潮[2019]，covid-19 [2020] [2020]）使用Twitter数据，我们表明民主党与共和党之间发生了极化的可衡量峰值。为了衡量两极分化，比较了与民主党和共和党一致的Twitter用户的观点（事件，人，位置等）。使用数十万个数据样本，与未发生危机的时间相比，在危机时期，极化增加了2.8％。不管在苦难和压力时期政党之间的差距都可以增加大量的理由，肯定是令人震惊的是，在生活的其他方面，在有害的民族事件中，党派差距会恶化。
Democrats and Republicans have seemed to grow apart in the past three decades. Since the United States as we know it today is undeniably bipartisan, this phenomenon would not appear as a surprise to most. However, there are triggers which can cause spikes in disagreements between Democrats and Republicans at a higher rate than how the two parties have been growing apart gradually over time. This study has analyzed the idea that national events which generally are detrimental to all individuals can be one of those triggers. By testing polarization before and after three events (Hurricane Sandy [2012], N. Korea Missile Test Surge [2019], COVID-19 [2020]) using Twitter data, we show that a measurable spike in polarization occurs between the Democrat and Republican party. In order to measure polarization, sentiments of Twitter users aligned to the Democrat and Republican parties are compared on identical entities (events, people, locations, etc.). Using hundreds of thousands of data samples, a 2.8% increase in polarization was measured during times of crisis compared to times where no crises were occurring. Regardless of the reasoning that the gap between political parties can increase so much during times of suffering and stress, it is definitely alarming to see that among other aspects of life, the partisan gap worsens during detrimental national events.
