论文标题
进化论框架中复杂城市系统的空间动力学
Spatial dynamics of complex urban systems within an evolutionary theory frame
论文作者
论文摘要
本章介绍了城市系统中的复杂性和空间动态。城市规模的强烈不平等以及限制其增长的明显困难引发了空间规划的实际问题。在有限的能源和原材料资源或可能的灾难性事件(如大流行)方面挑战城市扩张的时候,重要的是要巩固从各种科学学科的理论估算这些理论以在多大程度上修改城市动态。在简要审查复杂科学新事态发展提供的城市理论的贡献时,我们首先倡导城市理论的合理性。其次,我们将最初的方法考虑为空间相互作用和进化路径依赖作为城市实体一般行为的主要特征。第三,我们通过试验在整个世界上进行了统一的经验数据集校准的四个动态模型,测试了城市系统进化论的这些原则。
This chapter is about Complexity and Spatial Dynamics in Urban Systems. Strong inequalities in the size of cities and the apparent difficulty of limiting their growth raise practical issues for spatial planning. At a time when new constraints in terms of limited energy and raw material resources or possible catastrophic events such as pandemics are challenging further urban expansion, it is important to consolidate the theories from various scientific disciplines to estimate to what extent the urban dynamics can be modified. While briefly reviewing the contributions to urban theories provided by the new developments in complexity sciences, we first advocate for the soundness of urban theories. Second, we develop our original approach considering spatial interaction and evolutionary path dependence as major features in the general behavior of urban entities. Third, we test these principles grounded in an evolutionary theory of urban systems by experimenting four dynamic models of urban growth calibrated on harmonized empirical data sets with comparisons across the whole world.