论文标题
建模雪崩事故受害者的冒险行为
Modelling risk-taking behaviour of avalanche accident victims
论文作者
论文摘要
每年，在法国计算了15000多个山区救援请求。雪崩事故代表39％的报告，因此是我们在这项研究上的重点。建模山地事故受害者的行为对于开发更准确的救援和预防工具很有用。具体而言，在选择偏远地区滑雪行程时，我们观察到两种启发式方法（可用性和熟悉）的干扰。我们开发了一款认真的游戏来评估它们对参与风险行程的可能性的影响，同时在每个参与者中都改变了情境和环境标准（n = 278）。可用性启发性启发性通过三种情况，一个雪崩事故视频，偏远地区的滑雪视频和中立的环境进行了操作。熟悉的启发式方法是通过两个标准（对这个地方的强烈而弱的熟悉程度）来运作的。结果证明了两种启发式方法的影响。通过开发一种互动预防工具来减轻启发式方法的负面影响，讨论了通过我们认真游戏的测量。
Each year, over 15000 requests for mountain rescue are counted in France. Avalanche accidents represent 39\% of reports, and are therefore our focus in this study. Modelling the behaviour of mountain accident victims is useful to develop more accurate rescue and prevention tools. Concretely, we observe the interference of two heuristics (availability and familiarity) in decision making when choosing an itinerary in backcountry skiing. We developed a serious game to evaluate their effect on the probability of engaging in a risky itinerary, while varying situational and environmental criteria in each participant (N = 278). The availability heuristic is operationalized by three situations, an avalanche accident video, a backcountry skiing video and a neutral context. The familiarity heuristic is operationalized by two criteria, strong and weak familiarity with the place. Results demonstrate the effects of both heuristics. Measurements through our serious game are discussed in the perspective of developing an interactive prevention tool for mitigating the negative effects of heuristics.
