论文标题
解释44个发展中国家儿童死亡率的下降：燕麦分解方法的贝叶斯扩展
Explaining the Decline of Child Mortality in 44 Developing Countries: A Bayesian Extension of Oaxaca Decomposition Methods
论文作者
论文摘要
我们使用84项人口和健康调查的详细微数据研究了42个低收入国家（LMIC）婴儿死亡率的下降。我们在数据中估计每个婴儿的婴儿死亡率风险，并开发出瓦哈卡分解的新型扩展，以了解这些变化的来源。我们发现，婴儿死亡率的下降是由于给定特征经历婴儿死亡的父母的倾向下降，而不是由于这些特征随着时间的流逝而变化。我们的结果表明，以公共物品形式采取的技术进步和政策健康干预措施是LMIC婴儿死亡率最近下降的主要驱动力。
We investigate the decline of infant mortality in 42 low and middle income countries (LMIC) using detailed micro data from 84 Demographic and Health Surveys. We estimate infant mortality risk for each infant in our data and develop a novel extension of Oaxaca decomposition to understand the sources of these changes. We find that the decline in infant mortality is due to a declining propensity for parents with given characteristics to experience the death of an infant rather than due to changes in the distributions of these characteristics over time. Our results suggest that technical progress and policy health interventions in the form of public goods are the main drivers of the the recent decline in infant mortality in LMIC.
