论文标题
超新星宇宙学中明显发光性演变的进一步证据
Further evidence for significant luminosity evolution in supernova cosmology
论文作者
论文摘要
超新星(SN)宇宙学是基于以下假设:SN IA的校正光度不会随红移而发展。最近,高质量光谱中早期型宿主星系(ETG)中恒星种群的年龄数量表明,这种关键假设很可能是错误的。尽管没有从所有形态类型的宿主星系的多波段光学光度法中确认来自ETG的年龄长期残差(HR)相关性。但是,我们在这里表明,其中一个是基于在严重的模板不匹配下得出的高度不确定和不适当的光度加权年龄。其他数据集采用更可靠的大规模加权年龄,但是所涉及的统计分析受回归稀释偏置的影响,严重低估了年龄-HR相关性的斜率和意义。值得注意的是,当我们将回归分析采用标准后抽样方法应用于该数据集(包括大量样本($ n = 102 $)的主机星系)时,在全球人口年龄和HR之间获得了非常显着的($> 99.99 \%$)的相关性,并且与坡度($ -0.047 \ pm 0.047 \ pm 0.011 $ ag/gyr)一致的坡度相关。对于SN站点周围环境的当地年龄,与较陡的斜率($ -0.057 \ pm 0.016 $ mag/gyr)获得了类似的显着($> 99.96 \%$)的相关性。因此,基于多波段光学测定法的年龄约会强烈支持SN光度演化,并且可能是SN宇宙学的严重系统偏见。
Supernova (SN) cosmology is based on the assumption that the corrected luminosity of SN Ia would not evolve with redshift. Recently, our age dating of stellar populations in early-type host galaxies (ETGs) from high-quality spectra has shown that this key assumption is most likely in error. It has been argued though that the age-Hubble residual (HR) correlation from ETGs is not confirmed from two independent age datasets measured from multi-band optical photometry of host galaxies of all morphological types. Here we show, however, that one of them is based on highly uncertain and inappropriate luminosity-weighted ages derived, in many cases, under serious template mismatch. The other dataset employs more reliable mass-weighted ages, but the statistical analysis involved is affected by regression dilution bias, severely underestimating both the slope and significance of the age-HR correlation. Remarkably, when we apply regression analysis with a standard posterior sampling method to this dataset comprising a large sample ($N=102$) of host galaxies, very significant ($> 99.99 \%$) correlation is obtained between the global population age and HR with the slope ($-0.047 \pm 0.011$~mag/Gyr) highly consistent with our previous spectroscopic result from ETGs. For the local age of the environment around the site of SN, a similarly significant ($> 99.96 \%$) correlation is obtained with a steeper slope ($-0.057 \pm 0.016$ mag/Gyr). Therefore, the SN luminosity evolution is strongly supported by the age dating based on multi-band optical photometry and can be a serious systematic bias in SN cosmology.