论文标题
群集强镜和分层推断
Cluster Strong Lensing with Hierarchical Inference
论文作者
论文摘要
银河系簇的镜头是宇宙学和乳清天体物理学的多功能探针,但是其某些预测的准确性受到采用的简化模型的限制。我们的目标是群集镜头模型,其中所有集群成员星系的参数均可自由围绕某些公共缩放关系与非零散点,并且仅当数据需要时就显着偏离它们。我们已经设计了一个贝叶斯分层推理框架,该框架能够确定所有镜头参数和比例关系超参数,包括固有的散布,从透镜约束和(如果给出的)出色的运动学测量值。我们通过贝叶斯(Bayeslens)实现了这一目标,这是围绕镜头可能性的常见参数透镜代码的专门制造的包装器,可以在参数和超参数中对后验进行采样,我们使用本文释放。我们已经针对具有现实不确定性的简单模拟群集镜头数据集运行了代码的功能测试。参数和超参数在其68%的可信度范围内恢复,并且所有“观察到的”多个图像的位置由Bayelens Best Fit拟合模型准确地重现,而无需过度拟合。我们已经表明,尽管通过快速和可拖动的推断,尽管有大量自由度,但可以实现群集成员星系的准确描述。这超出了当前群集镜头模型的最先进。然后可以在实际星系簇上量化宇宙学,星系进化和高红移星系种群的确切影响。尽管存在系统的其他来源,并且可能在实际簇中很重要,但我们的结果表明,现在可以控制固有散射在组成员中的贡献。
Lensing by galaxy clusters is a versatile probe of cosmology and extragalactic astrophysics, but the accuracy of some of its predictions is limited by the simplified models adopted to reduce the (otherwise untractable) number of degrees of freedom. We aim at cluster lensing models where the parameters of all cluster-member galaxies are free to vary around some common scaling relations with non-zero scatter, and deviate significantly from them if and only if the data require it. We have devised a Bayesian hierarchical inference framework, which enables the determination of all lensing parameters and of the scaling-relation hyperparameters, including intrinsic scatter, from lensing constraints and (if given) stellar kinematic measurements. We achieve this through BayesLens, a purpose-built wrapper around common parametric lensing codes for the lensing likelihood that can sample the posterior on parameters and hyperparameters, which we release with this paper. We have run functional tests of our code against simple mock cluster lensing datasets with realistic uncertainties. The parameters and hyperparameters are recovered within their 68% credibility ranges, and the positions of all the "observed" multiple images are accurately reproduced by the BayeLens best-fit model, without overfitting. We have shown that an accurate description of cluster member galaxies is attainable, despite the large number of degrees of freedom, through fast and tractable inference. This extends beyond the state-of-the-art of current cluster lensing models. The precise impact on studies of cosmography, galaxy evolution and high-redshift galaxy populations can then be quantified on real galaxy clusters. While other sources of systematics exist and may be significant in real clusters, our results show that the contribution of intrinsic scatter in cluster-member populations can now be controlled.