论文标题

激励驱动驱动到高乘车共享的过渡

Incentive-driven transition to high ride-sharing adoption

论文作者

Storch, David-Maximilian, Timme, Marc, Schröder, Malte

论文摘要

乘车共享 - 多次旅行的结合 - 可能会有助于可持续的城市流动性。在高需求的位置上,这是最有效的,有许多类似的旅行请求。但是,我们在这里揭示人们愿意分享乘车的意愿并没有遵循这一趋势。为个人乘车共享决策的基本激励措施进行建模,我们发现了两个相对的收养制度,一种是恒定的,另一种是随着需求的增加而下降的,一种持续的采用制度。在高需求限制下,这些政权之间的过渡变得不连续,从低乘车共享的采用突然切换。分析纽约市和芝加哥的3.6亿乘车请求表明,这两个政权在整个城市共存,这与我们的模型预测一致。这些结果表明,即使经济激励措施的适度增加也可能对乘车共享的单个用户群体产生不成比例的影响。

Ride-sharing - the combination of multiple trips into one - may substantially contribute towards sustainable urban mobility. It is most efficient at high demand locations with many similar trip requests. However, here we reveal that people's willingness to share rides does not follow this trend. Modeling the fundamental incentives underlying individual ride-sharing decisions, we find two opposing adoption regimes, one with constant and another one with decreasing adoption as demand increases. In the high demand limit, the transition between these regimes becomes discontinuous, switching abruptly from low to high ride-sharing adoption. Analyzing over 360 million ride requests in New York City and Chicago illustrates that both regimes coexist across the cities, consistent with our model predictions. These results suggest that even a moderate increase in the financial incentives may have a disproportionately large effect on the ride-sharing adoption of individual user groups.

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