论文标题
人口尺度研究人类需求期间的大流行期间:分析和含义
Population-Scale Study of Human Needs During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Analysis and Implications
论文作者
论文摘要
迄今为止,在减轻COVID-19的大流行方面的大多数工作急切地集中在生物医学和流行病学上。但是,与大流行有关的政策决定不能仅对健康信息做出。决定需要考虑对人及其需求的更广泛影响。量化整个人群的人类需求是具有挑战性的,因为它需要高地粒状粒度,在整个人群中高覆盖范围以及对季节性和其他外部影响的适当调整。在这里,我们提出了一种基于马斯洛需求层次结构的计算方法,可以通过通过差异差异方法来捕捉到大流行的相对变化的整体观点,该方法可以纠正季节性和体积变化。我们采用这种方法来表征美国在生理,社会经济和心理领域中人类需求的变化,基于超过350亿的搜索相互作用,这些搜索相互作用超过36,000个邮政编码。分析表明,基本人类需求的表达呈指数增长,而在大流行期间,在大流行期间,更高级别的愿望下降。在探索全州政策的时机和差异时,我们发现,就地授权的持续时间严重影响了社会和情感需求。我们证明,可以通过网络搜索互动来确定解决关键需求的潜在障碍,例如对失业和家庭暴力的支持。我们的方法和结果表明,人口规模的监测人类需求的转变可以为当前和预期需求的政策和恢复工作提供依据。
Most work to date on mitigating the COVID-19 pandemic is focused urgently on biomedicine and epidemiology. Yet, pandemic-related policy decisions cannot be made on health information alone. Decisions need to consider the broader impacts on people and their needs. Quantifying human needs across the population is challenging as it requires high geo-temporal granularity, high coverage across the population, and appropriate adjustment for seasonal and other external effects. Here, we propose a computational methodology, building on Maslow's hierarchy of needs, that can capture a holistic view of relative changes in needs following the pandemic through a difference-in-differences approach that corrects for seasonality and volume variations. We apply this approach to characterize changes in human needs across physiological, socioeconomic, and psychological realms in the US, based on more than 35 billion search interactions spanning over 36,000 ZIP codes over a period of 14 months. The analyses reveal that the expression of basic human needs has increased exponentially while higher-level aspirations declined during the pandemic in comparison to the pre-pandemic period. In exploring the timing and variations in statewide policies, we find that the durations of shelter-in-place mandates have influenced social and emotional needs significantly. We demonstrate that potential barriers to addressing critical needs, such as support for unemployment and domestic violence, can be identified through web search interactions. Our approach and results suggest that population-scale monitoring of shifts in human needs can inform policies and recovery efforts for current and anticipated needs.