论文标题
灭绝边缘收获人口的最佳管理
Optimal management of harvested population at the edge of extinction
论文作者
论文摘要
考虑了对未受保护区域的灭绝边缘的最佳控制。潜在的人口动态受kolmogorov-petrovsky-piskunov方程的控制,其收获项和依赖空间的系数,而控件包括从自然储备中运送个体。非线性最佳控制问题是通过盖金方案近似的。汇聚结果涉及相应最佳控件之间的最佳控制解决方案和误差估计。对于某些参数制度,几乎最佳的解决方案是从具有收获项的简单逻辑普通微分方程(ODE)计算得出的,该术语是作为原始偏微分方程(PDE)模型的Galerkin近似值获得的。储备金人口的关键允许分数$ \ usewine $ \usevenlineα$是从降低的逻辑颂歌中推断出的。从还原模型中获得的估计值使我们能够在整个PDE本身的生存和灭绝之间急剧区分,从而声明控制策略是在确保储备金人群中生存的同时确保相应救援行动的成功还是失败。用动态术语来说,该结果表明,尽管对强迫的持续依赖可能会在有限的时间间隔内保持,但在渐近时间内可能会出现系统响应的高灵敏度。我们认为,这项工作以其一般性而建立了有趣的桥梁,以探索ODE的最佳控制问题与收获术语的最佳控制问题和PDE对应物。
Optimal control of harvested population at the edge of extinction in an unprotected area, is considered. The underlying population dynamics is governed by a Kolmogorov-Petrovsky-Piskunov equation with a harvesting term and space-dependent coefficients while the control consists of transporting individuals from a natural reserve. The nonlinear optimal control problem is approximated by means of a Galerkin scheme. Convergence result about the optimal controlled solutions and error estimates between the corresponding optimal controls, are derived. For certain parameter regimes, nearly optimal solutions are calculated from a simple logistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) with a harvesting term, obtained as a Galerkin approximation of the original partial differential equation (PDE) model. A critical allowable fraction $\underlineα$ of the reserve's population is inferred from the reduced logistic ODE with a harvesting term. This estimate obtained from the reduced model allows us to distinguish sharply between survival and extinction for the full PDE itself, and thus to declare whether a control strategy leads to success or failure for the corresponding rescue operation while ensuring survival in the reserve's population. In dynamical terms, this result illustrates that although continuous dependence on the forcing may hold on finite-time intervals, a high sensitivity in the system's response may occur in the asymptotic time. We believe that this work, by its generality, establishes bridges interesting to explore between optimal control problems of ODEs with a harvesting term and their PDE counterpart.