论文标题
公平机器学习用于临床风险预测的经验表征
An Empirical Characterization of Fair Machine Learning For Clinical Risk Prediction
论文作者
论文摘要
使用机器学习来指导临床决策,有可能恶化现有的健康差异。最近的几项工作将问题构成了算法公平性的问题,该框架引起了相当大的关注和批评。但是,由于道德和技术考虑因素,该框架的适当性尚不清楚,后者包括公平度和模型绩效之间的权衡,这些措施对临床结果的预测模型不太理解。为了告知正在进行的辩论,我们进行了一项实证研究,以表征惩罚群体公平性对模型绩效和群体公平度量的影响的影响。我们重复了多个观察性医疗保健数据库,临床结果和敏感属性的分析。我们发现,惩罚跨组预测分布之间差异的程序会导致组中多个绩效指标的几乎全世界退化。在检查这些程序的次要影响时,我们观察到这些程序对跨实验条件的校准和排名的措施的影响的异质性。除了报道的权衡外,我们还强调,医疗保健算法公平性的分析缺乏对导致健康差异的机制以及算法公平方法的潜在来抵消这些机制所必需的背景基础和因果意识。鉴于这些局限性,我们鼓励研究人员建立用于临床用途的预测模型,以超出算法公平框架,并与围绕医疗保健机器学习使用的更广泛的社会技术环境进行批判性。
The use of machine learning to guide clinical decision making has the potential to worsen existing health disparities. Several recent works frame the problem as that of algorithmic fairness, a framework that has attracted considerable attention and criticism. However, the appropriateness of this framework is unclear due to both ethical as well as technical considerations, the latter of which include trade-offs between measures of fairness and model performance that are not well-understood for predictive models of clinical outcomes. To inform the ongoing debate, we conduct an empirical study to characterize the impact of penalizing group fairness violations on an array of measures of model performance and group fairness. We repeat the analyses across multiple observational healthcare databases, clinical outcomes, and sensitive attributes. We find that procedures that penalize differences between the distributions of predictions across groups induce nearly-universal degradation of multiple performance metrics within groups. On examining the secondary impact of these procedures, we observe heterogeneity of the effect of these procedures on measures of fairness in calibration and ranking across experimental conditions. Beyond the reported trade-offs, we emphasize that analyses of algorithmic fairness in healthcare lack the contextual grounding and causal awareness necessary to reason about the mechanisms that lead to health disparities, as well as about the potential of algorithmic fairness methods to counteract those mechanisms. In light of these limitations, we encourage researchers building predictive models for clinical use to step outside the algorithmic fairness frame and engage critically with the broader sociotechnical context surrounding the use of machine learning in healthcare.