论文标题
对中国大陆的COVID-19大流行的遏制措施的调查
An Investigation of Containment Measures Against the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mainland China
论文作者
论文摘要
随着最近的Covid-19爆发在世界各地迅速扩展,已经采取了各种遏制措施来与19日大流行作斗争。在中国大陆,遏制措施包括三种类型,即武汉旅行禁令,城市内隔离和隔离以及城市间旅行限制。为了采取措施,当地经济和信息获取起着重要作用。在本文中,我们调查了地方经济的相关性以及有关执行遏制措施的信息获取,以与中国大陆的19日大流行作斗争。首先,我们使用一种简约的模型,即SIR-X模型来估计参数,该参数代表了中国大陆主要城市的城市内隔离和隔离。为了了解城市内隔离和隔离的执行,我们分析了代表性参数(包括当地经济,流动性和信息获取)之间的相关性。为此,我们收集了国内生产总值(GDP)的数据,武汉和流出的流入以及COVID-19的相关搜索频率,从广泛使用的Web映射服务,即BAIDU地图和Web搜索引擎,即Mainland Mainland的Baidu搜索引擎,即BAIDU搜索引擎。根据分析,我们确认了中国大陆主要城市的当地经济与信息获取的执行之间的密切相关性。我们进一步证明,尽管人均GDP高的城市吸引了武汉的大量流入,但人们更有可能进行隔离措施并减少去其他城市。最后,使用搜索数据的相关分析表明,信息良好的个体可能会执行遏制措施。
As the recent COVID-19 outbreak rapidly expands all over the world, various containment measures have been carried out to fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. In Mainland China, the containment measures consist of three types, i.e., Wuhan travel ban, intra-city quarantine and isolation, and inter-city travel restriction. In order to carry out the measures, local economy and information acquisition play an important role. In this paper, we investigate the correlation of local economy and the information acquisition on the execution of containment measures to fight against the COVID-19 pandemic in Mainland China. First, we use a parsimonious model, i.e., SIR-X model, to estimate the parameters, which represent the execution of intra-city quarantine and isolation in major cities of Mainland China. In order to understand the execution of intra-city quarantine and isolation, we analyze the correlation between the representative parameters including local economy, mobility, and information acquisition. To this end, we collect the data of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the inflows from Wuhan and outflows, and the COVID-19 related search frequency from a widely-used Web mapping service, i.e., Baidu Maps, and Web search engine, i.e., Baidu Search Engine, in Mainland China. Based on the analysis, we confirm the strong correlation between the local economy and the execution of information acquisition in major cities of Mainland China. We further evidence that, although the cities with high GDP per capita attracts bigger inflows from Wuhan, people are more likely to conduct the quarantine measure and to reduce going out to other cities. Finally, the correlation analysis using search data shows that well-informed individuals are likely to carry out containment measures.