论文标题

医学测试的统计评估

Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests

论文作者

Inacio, Vanda, Rodriguez-Alvarez, Maria Xose, Gayoso-Diz, Pilar

论文摘要

在这篇综述中,我们概述了与诊断和预后的医学测试统计评估有关的主要方面。引入了二进制测试的诊断性能度量,例如灵敏度,特异性和预测值,并详细介绍了连续结果测试的情况。特别重点放在接收器操作特征(ROC)曲线及其估计上,协变量调整的主题引起了很多关注。还涉及到时间相关的ROC曲线的情况,以评估预后准确性。我们将描述的几种方法应用于源于旨在评估HOMA-IR(胰岛素耐药性稳态模型评估)水平的能力的研究集,以鉴定处于高心代谢风险的人以及这种歧视能力如何受到年龄和性别的影响。我们还概述了用于实现方法的软件。

In this review, we present an overview of the main aspects related to the statistical evaluation of medical tests for diagnosis and prognosis. Measures of diagnostic performance for binary tests, such as sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values, are introduced, and extensions to the case of continuous-outcome tests are detailed. Special focus is placed on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its estimation, with the topic of covariate adjustment receiving a great deal of attention. The extension to the case of time-dependent ROC curves for evaluating prognostic accuracy is also touched upon. We apply several of the approaches described to a dataset derived from a study aimed to evaluate the ability of HOMA-IR (homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance) levels to identify individuals at high cardio-metabolic risk and how such discriminatory ability might be influenced by age and gender. We also outline software available for the implementation of the methods.

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