论文标题
基于因果推理的消费贷款中的智能信用限额管理
Intelligent Credit Limit Management in Consumer Loans Based on Causal Inference
论文作者
论文摘要
如今,消费者贷款在促进经济增长方面起着重要作用,信用卡是最受欢迎的消费者贷款。信用卡中最重要的部分之一是信用额度管理。传统上,信用限额是根据有限的启发式策略来调整的,这些策略是由经验丰富的专业人员开发的。在本文中,我们提出了一种以数据为基础的方法来智能地管理信用额度。首先,进行有条件的独立性测试以获取建筑模型的数据。基于这些测试数据,然后构建了一个响应模型,以衡量增加信用限额(即治疗)的异质治疗效果,这些效应由几个控制变量(即功能)描绘的不同客户。为了纳入边缘效应,将精心选择的对数转换引入了处理变量。此外,通过通过GBDT编码在功能上应用非线性转换,可以进一步增强模型的功能。最后,提出了一个精心设计的度量,以正确地测量比较方法的性能。实验结果证明了所提出的方法的有效性。
Nowadays consumer loan plays an important role in promoting the economic growth, and credit cards are the most popular consumer loan. One of the most essential parts in credit cards is the credit limit management. Traditionally, credit limits are adjusted based on limited heuristic strategies, which are developed by experienced professionals. In this paper, we present a data-driven approach to manage the credit limit intelligently. Firstly, a conditional independence testing is conducted to acquire the data for building models. Based on these testing data, a response model is then built to measure the heterogeneous treatment effect of increasing credit limits (i.e. treatments) for different customers, who are depicted by several control variables (i.e. features). In order to incorporate the diminishing marginal effect, a carefully selected log transformation is introduced to the treatment variable. Moreover, the model's capability can be further enhanced by applying a non-linear transformation on features via GBDT encoding. Finally, a well-designed metric is proposed to properly measure the performances of compared methods. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.