论文标题
将社会观点纳入流行病的演变中
Incorporating social opinion in the evolution of an epidemic spread
论文作者
论文摘要
试图控制Covid19在不同国家的流行病的尝试通常涉及对公民流动性施加限制。最近的例子表明，这些政策的有效性在很大程度上取决于人口遵守他们的意愿。这是一个很难衡量和控制的参数。我们在此手稿中证明了一种系统的方式来检查社会的情绪，并将其纳入流行病传播的动态模型。我们体现了考虑西班牙案例的过程，尽管结果和方法可以直接推断到其他国家。
Attempts to control the epidemic spread of COVID19 in the different countries often involve imposing restrictions to the mobility of citizens. Recent examples demonstrate that the effectiveness of these policies strongly depends on the willingness of the population to adhere them. And this is a parameter that it is difficult to measure and control. We demonstrate in this manuscript a systematic way to check the mood of a society and a way to incorporate it into dynamical models of epidemic propagation. We exemplify the process considering the case of Spain although the results and methodology can be directly extrapolated to other countries.
