论文标题
大教堂和星际飞船:从中世纪学习未来的长期项目
The Cathedral and the Starship: Learning from the Middle Ages for Future Long-Duration Projects
论文作者
论文摘要
空间领域中使用的一种流行的类似物是历史建筑项目的类似物,尤其是大教堂,这些大教堂花了数十年,在某些情况下才能完成几个世纪。大教堂通常被视为长期项目的原型。在本文中,我将从项目管理和系统架构的角度探索大教堂,并吸引对太空领域的长期项目的影响,特别是发展星际飞船。我将证明大教堂作为一个连续的长期项目的流行形象与当前的研究状态相矛盾。更具体地说,我将证明有关以下命题:大教堂是根据初始详细的总体规划建造的;建筑是遵守总体规划的连续过程。不断为建筑过程提供投资。尽管最初的计划可能已经存在,但施工过程经常占据多次运动,有时会被数十年分开。这种中断使知识保护非常具有挑战性。长期不活动的原因主要是由于缺乏资金。因此,资金的可用性与建筑活动相吻合。这些发现描绘了当今长期项目的大教堂建筑物的更相关的图片:尽管关于技能损失,资金短缺和中断的不确定性,该项目如何完成?可以得出结论,诸如星际勘探计划之类的长期项目可以通过开发模块化建筑,允许扩展性和灵活性,在早期考虑价值交付以及建立机制以及建立稳定资金的组织来从大教堂汲取灵感。
A popular analogue used in the space domain is that of historical building projects, notably cathedrals that took decades and in some cases centuries to complete. Cathedrals are often taken as archetypes for long-term projects. In this article, I will explore the cathedral from the point of view of project management and systems architecting and draw implications for long-term projects in the space domain, notably developing a starship. I will show that the popular image of a cathedral as a continuous long-term project is in contradiction to the current state of research. More specifically, I will show that for the following propositions: The cathedrals were built based on an initial detailed master plan; Building was a continuous process that adhered to the master plan; Investments were continuously provided for the building process. Although initial plans might have existed, the construction process took often place in multiple campaigns, sometimes separated by decades. Such interruptions made knowledge-preservation very challenging. The reason for the long stretches of inactivity was mostly due to a lack of funding. Hence, the availability of funding coincided with construction activity. These findings paint a much more relevant picture of cathedral building for long-duration projects today: How can a project be completed despite a range of uncertainties regarding loss in skills, shortage in funding, and interruptions? It is concluded that long-term projects such as an interstellar exploration program can take inspiration from cathedrals by developing a modular architecture, allowing for extensibility and flexibility, thinking about value delivery at an early point, and establishing mechanisms and an organization for stable funding.