论文标题
使用广义倾向评分的加权和分层剂量响应函数估计器的闭合形式方差估计器
Closed-form variance estimators for weighted and stratified dose-response function estimators using generalized propensity score
论文作者
论文摘要
倾向评分方法被广泛用于评估边际治疗效果的观测研究中。广义倾向得分(GPS)是倾向得分框架的扩展,在二进制暴露的情况下,倾向得分框架用于定量或连续暴露。在本文中,我们提出了方差估计器,以估算持续结果。剂量反应函数(DRF)是通过在GP的逆上加权或使用分层来估计的。使用蒙特卡洛模拟评估方差估计器。尽管使用了稳定的权重,但DRF加权估计器的变异性尤其很高,并且没有一个方差估计器(基于自动启动的估计器,一个闭合形式的估计器,尤其是开发出来的封闭形式的估计器,以考虑GPS的估计步骤和GPS的估计步骤,以及夹层估计值的估计量,尤其是在覆盖范围的情况下,尤其是在覆盖范围的情况下,尤其是在范围内的变化,尤其是在范围内的变化,尤其是在范围内的变化,尤其是在范围内的变化。协变量是1个。分层的估计器更稳定,方差估计值(基于引导程序的估计器,汇总线性化估计器和基于汇总模型的估计器)更有效地捕获DRF参数的经验变异性。汇总的差异估计量倾向于高估该方差,而引导程序估计器本质上考虑了GPS的估计步骤,从而得出了正确的方差估计和覆盖率。这些方法应用于真实数据集,目的是评估母体体重指数对新生儿出生体重的影响。
Propensity score methods are widely used in observational studies for evaluating marginal treatment effects. The generalized propensity score (GPS) is an extension of the propensity score framework, historically developed in the case of binary exposures, for use with quantitative or continuous exposures. In this paper, we proposed variance esti-mators for treatment effect estimators on continuous outcomes. Dose-response functions (DRF) were estimated through weighting on the inverse of the GPS, or using stratification. Variance estimators were evaluated using Monte Carlo simulations. Despite the use of stabilized weights, the variability of the weighted estimator of the DRF was particularly high, and none of the variance estimators (a bootstrap-based estimator, a closed-form estimator especially developped to take into account the estimation step of the GPS, and a sandwich estimator) were able to adequately capture this variability, resulting in coverages below to the nominal value, particularly when the proportion of the variation in the quantitative exposure explained by the covariates was 1 large. The stratified estimator was more stable, and variance estima-tors (a bootstrap-based estimator, a pooled linearized estimator, and a pooled model-based estimator) more efficient at capturing the empirical variability of the parameters of the DRF. The pooled variance estimators tended to overestimate the variance, whereas the bootstrap estimator, which intrinsically takes into account the estimation step of the GPS, resulted in correct variance estimations and coverage rates. These methods were applied to a real data set with the aim of assessing the effect of maternal body mass index on newborn birth weight.