论文标题
来自腔主方程的流行模型的动力学
Dynamics of epidemic models from cavity master equations
论文作者
论文摘要
我们将空腔主方程（CME）方法应用于流行病模型。我们主要探索易感感染感染的（SIS）模型，该模型可以很容易地用CME作为两态。我们表明，这种方法比基于个人和基于配对的平均字段方法以及先前发布的动态消息传递方案更准确。我们探索平均病例预测，并将腔主式方程扩展到SIR和SIRS模型。
We apply the cavity master equation (CME) approach to epidemics models. We explore mostly the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model, which can be readily treated with the CME as a two-state. We show that this approach is more accurate than individual based and pair based mean field methods, and a previously published dynamic message passing scheme. We explore average case predictions and extend the cavity master equation to SIR and SIRS models.
