论文标题
COVID-19的回应需要扩大财务包容以遏制贫困的增长
COVID-19 response needs to broaden financial inclusion to curb the rise in poverty
论文作者
论文摘要
持续的共同199大流行风险消除了减少全球贫困的多年进步。在本文中，我们探讨了金融包容性可以在多大程度上有助于使用78个低中和中低收入国家的越野数据来减轻贫困的增加。与最近的其他越野研究不同，我们表明金融包容性是这些国家减贫的主要驱动力。通过减轻不平等对贫困的有害影响，这种影响不是直接的，而是间接的。我们的发现在所有不同的贫困度量中都是一致的。我们的预测表明，到2021年，全球人口每天的人口不到1.90美元，可能会从8％增加到14％，使近4亿人陷入贫困。但是，金融包容性的紧急改善可以大大减少对贫困的影响。
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic risks wiping out years of progress made in reducing global poverty. In this paper, we explore to what extent financial inclusion could help mitigate the increase in poverty using cross-country data across 78 low- and lower-middle-income countries. Unlike other recent cross-country studies, we show that financial inclusion is a key driver of poverty reduction in these countries. This effect is not direct, but indirect, by mitigating the detrimental effect that inequality has on poverty. Our findings are consistent across all the different measures of poverty used. Our forecasts suggest that the world's population living on less than $1.90 per day could increase from 8% to 14% by 2021, pushing nearly 400 million people into poverty. However, urgent improvements in financial inclusion could substantially reduce the impact on poverty.
