论文标题
适应性流动政策对Covid-19在城市环境中传播的影响：韩国首尔的干预分析
The effect of adaptive mobility policy to the spread of COVID-19 in urban environment: intervention analysis of Seoul, South Korea
论文作者
论文摘要
尽管严重的流动性限制被认为是包含共同19的关键促进者，但很少有科学研究可以验证这种方法，尤其是在城市环境中。这项研究分析了韩国首尔的流动性模式变化，这些变化采用了适应性的移动方法。干预分析表明，大量降低了城市案件峰值前两周。这种自愿调整表现出强烈的偏好转向向私人交通转向私人模式。在购物和用餐的非必要和高接触活动中，大量减少了，而工作和星巴克旅行受到的影响较小。集体评估表明，流行病学，流动性和政策的重大变化同时发生，没有滞后或领先的贡献者。我们的研究表明，集体了解流动性，流行病学和政策之间的相互方面至关重要。增量和灵活的迁移率限制不仅是可能的，而且是必要的，尤其是对于大量的空间和时间尺度而言。
Although severe mobility restrictions are recognized as the key enabler to contain COVID-19, there has been few scientific studies to validate such approach, especially in urban context. This study analyzes mobility pattern changes in Seoul, South Korea that adopted adaptive approach toward mobility. Intervention analyses reveal that major mobility reduction did occur two weeks before the city's case peak. Such voluntary adjustments exhibit strong preference shift toward private mode from public transit. Large reductions occurred in non-essential and high-contact activities of shopping and dining, while work and Starbucks trips were less affected. The collective evaluation reveal that major changes in epidemiology, mobility and policy occurred simultaneously, with no lagging nor leading contributors. Our study demonstrates that collective understanding the mutual aspects among mobility, epidemiology and policy is essential. Incremental and flexible mobility restriction is not only possible but necessary, especially for a pandemic of extensive spatial and temporal scales.
