论文标题
动摇并搅动：当邦德遇到suess-de vries和gnevyshev-ohl时
Shaken and stirred: When Bond meets Suess-de Vries and Gnevyshev-Ohl
论文作者
论文摘要
We argue that the most prominent temporal features of the solar dynamo, in particular the Hale cycle, the Suess-de Vries cycle (associated with variations of the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule), Gleissberg-type cycles, and grand minima can be self-consistently explained by double synchronization with the 11.07-years periodic tidal forcing of the Venus-Earth-Jupiter system and the （主要是）太阳在太阳系的重中心周围的19.86年周期性运动。在我们的数值模拟，大最小值及其簇中，在千禧一代时尺度上出现了间歇性和非周期性事件，与在整个全新世和最后一个冰川时期观察到的一系列粘结事件非常相似。如果确认，这种间歇性过渡到混乱将阻止任何长期预测太阳活动，尽管较短的hale和suess-de vries周期是按照行星运动的计时。
We argue that the most prominent temporal features of the solar dynamo, in particular the Hale cycle, the Suess-de Vries cycle (associated with variations of the Gnevyshev-Ohl rule), Gleissberg-type cycles, and grand minima can be self-consistently explained by double synchronization with the 11.07-years periodic tidal forcing of the Venus-Earth-Jupiter system and the (mainly) 19.86-years periodic motion of the Sun around the barycenter of the solar system. In our numerical simulation, grand minima, and clusters thereof, emerge as intermittent and non-periodic events on millennial time scales, very similar to the series of Bond events which were observed throughout the Holocene and the last glacial period. If confirmed, such an intermittent transition to chaos would prevent any long-term prediction of solar activity, notwithstanding the fact that the shorter-term Hale and Suess-de Vries cycles are clocked by planetary motion.
